Earliest Minnesota Tornado on Record – Earliest Ice Out for Lake Calhoun

52 mph peak wind gust yesterday at Twin Cities International Airport.
23.3 mph average wind speed yesterday.
49 F. high temperature Tuesday.
37 F. average high on March 7 in the Twin Cities.
64 F. maximum temperature on March 7, 2016.

March 8, 2004: A vigorous Alberta Clipper brings an intense snow burst across the Twin Cities from 9:30 am to noon. 2.5 inches fell, with most of it accumulating in an hour at the State Climatology Office on the University of Minnesota St. Paul Campus. Numerous crashes were reported across the metro area with I-94 closed at Highway 280 and also at White Bear Avenue. In a rare scene, television programming was interrupted to report on the snow situation. By early afternoon most of the snow had moved into Wisconsin and road conditions rapidly improved.
March 8, 1892: A blizzard hits Minnesota, with 70 mph winds recorded at Easton. Duluth was hit especially hard with 60 mph winds causing large drifts. Residents were able to walk out of their second story windows.

Shirtsleeves. Tornadoes. Slush. Welcome to March

Maybe I’m getting old, but I find myself reflecting on some of the weather oddities I’ve witnessed over the years. 98.6 inches of snow the winter of 1983-84. Debilitating drought and heat in ’88. Epic Red River flooding. The St. Peter and Comfrey tornadoes of 1998. 144 Minnesota tornadoes in 2010 (most in the USA). Flowers blooming in late March, 2012. And now the earliest tornado on record in Minnesota.

Monday’s Zimmerman tornado was an EF-1 with 107 mph winds – 300 yards wide; on the ground for nearly 9 miles according to the National Weather Service (which had a Tornado Warning issued with plenty of lead time to take cover).

Another poignant reminder that the seasons are shifting. Expect the unexpected.

Another bad hair-day is likely today with wind gusts over 30 mph and a wind chill in the 20s. Highs may not climb out of the 20s Friday and Saturday; a Sunday clipper capable of slushing up lawns and dazed robins. But any snow won’t last long; the sun is too high in the sky now.

40s return late next week, but Old Man Winter isn’t nearly done with us just yet. Bundle up.

Earliest Known Tornado in Minnesota History. The previous record is March 18, 1968. We broke the record by nearly 2 weeks. Here’s an excerpt from the Twin Cities National Weather Service: “On March 06, 2017, an early spring severe weather outbreak produced large hail and damaging wind in Wisconsin, and even tornadoes across Minnesota. This marks the earliest date in Minnesota history that a tornado was ever recorded. The previous record was March 18, 1968.  The loop to the right shows a comparison of visible and infrared satellite imagery from the GOES16 satellite, along with radar reflectivity, lightning, and warnings at 5:00 PM March 06, 2017.  The line of thunderstorms was located across Central Minnesota and extends southward into Iowa...”
Tracking Reflectivity and Velocity. The Twin Cities National Weather Service has archived Doppler images, not only showing where the rain/hail was falling, but the location of a strong “couplet”, a signature of an especially dangerous rotating thunderstorm, a “mesocyclone” that ultimately converted strong shear (changing wind speed/direction with altitude) and severe instability into an EF-1 tornado at Zimmerman.

Hundreds of Homes Damaged as Storms, Tornadoes Batter Midwest. Here’s an excerpt of a good overview from USA TODAY: “…A severe storm system pummeled parts of the Midwest overnight with tornadoes, huge hailstones and powerful winds, damaging nearly 500 buildings and injuring a dozen people in one Missouri city. The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Okla., received reports of more than 30 tornadoes in Kansas, Missouri, Iowa and Illinois late Monday and early Tuesday. Powerful winds extended as far south as the Ozark Mountains in Arkansas, where a post office and church were damaged, and as far north as Wisconsin, where trees were downed. In Oak Grove, Mo., 483 homes sustained some type of damage, along with 10 to 12 commercial buildings, said Sni Valley Fire Protection District Chief Carl Scarborough…”
Trained Storm Spotters Are The Key to Severe Weather Alerts. The nearly 400,000 trained Skywarn spotters are literally the eyes and ears of The National Weather Service, nationwide, providing ground-truth. Because Doppler radar, as good as it is, only goes so far. Here’s an excerpt of a timely article at WKRN News 2: “…It really is a team effort. The National Weather Service may issue the watches and warnings, but without the TV media, it is hard to communicate the warnings, and without the storm spotters out in the field and emergency management, we wouldn’t know what is going on out there,” Hurley explained. SKYWARN storm spotters are volunteers trained by the NWS to be the eyes and ears in the field, reporting back about severe weather. They report on hail, damaging winds, and, most importantly, tornadoes. “Our radar, even though it is fantastic technology, it is not scanning on the ground, so we don’t know what is happening on the ground,” said Hurley. “Spotters really help us provide the details on what is happening on the ground and radar is helping provide details of what is going on aloft in the storm...”

Image credit: WKRN; Image: Chris Gullikson.
Record Ice-Out on Lake Calhoun; Lake Minnetonka Close. KARE-11 has more details: “…Jerry Rockvam, owner of Rockvam Boat Yards says, “The average ice-out on Lake Minnetonka is April 15.  And it’s never gone out on April 15.” Lake Minnetonka has 37 bays. Rockvam Boat Yards is nestled in West Arm. According to their ice-out log, the earliest recorded event in West Arm was on March 15 of last year, and in 2000.  According to the Freshwater Society and the Hennepin County Sheriff’s Office Water Patrol, the earliest ice-out on Lake Minnetonka was on March 11, 1878.  Last year it was March 17. “A lot of times it depends on what happens with the weather once the ice goes out,” explains Rockvam. “Because if it gets cold, windy and rainy, there isn’t a big demand for boating…”

Earliest Ice-Outs on Minnesota Lakes. Ice out on Lake Calhoun already? That’s nearly a month ahead of schedule. Check out the stats on your favorite lake at the Minnesota DNR.

Earliest Ice-Out On Record for Lake Minnetonka? If the ice comes off before March 11 we may have a new record on ‘Tonka. Data courtesy of The Freshwater Society.

Family of Clippers. No big, sprawling, full latitude blockbuster storms are brewing, but a series of small, fast-moving Alberta Clippers will spread fingers of snow from the Northern Plains to the Mid Atlantic as waves of colder air pulse into America. More rain for Seattle and the Pacific Northwest. Who would have guessed? 84-hour Future Radar product: NOAA and Tropicaltidbits.com.
Winter’s Last Gasp? We’ll see, but I suspect Friday may be the last opportunity to enjoy a subzero wind chill. Air temperatures stay above 0F in the metro area, but a stiff wind will make 10 above feel more like 10 below. Meteograms above: AerisWeather.

Cold Correction, Then Warming Up Again Next Week. No more 60s for at least a few weeks, although ice-out and spring green-up will happen about 2-4 weeks early for many communities. After a run of 20s into the weekend 40s will feel just fine by the end of next week. ECMWF guidance: WeatherBell.

Snowfall Potential Into Saturday Morning. Waves of colder-than-average air splashing south of the border spin up a series of fast-moving clippers into the weekend. A couple inches may slush up Pennsylvania Friday; another clipper late Friday and Saturday may put down a carpet of white from Rapid City to Omaha and Des Moines.
Winter is Not Coming. We Need Winter. There will be occasional “polar vortex” winters, but they may become the exception, not the rule, as the atmosphere continues to warm. Here’s an excerpt from ThinkProgress: “…In nature, timing is everything. In a spring, flowers lend their nectar to bees, and bees pollinate those flowers. When flowers bloom too soon, however, they risk losing their petals and nectar before bees show up. Fewer bees mean less pollination, and so forth. But if both species resurface at the onset of spring, why would they fall out of sync? The answer is that they respond to different cues. Some plants, like Washington’s cherry trees, bloom after experiencing several warms days in a row. Others respond to sunlight, blossoming only after days grow longer. Pollinators — such as birds, bees, bats, and butterflies—have evolved to take advantage of these subtle, seasonal cues. In a normal year, these cues more or less line up as anticipated, leading the birds and the bees to discharge their vernal duties at roughly the appropriate time. But climate change is blurring the line between winter and spring — a phenomenon scientists call season creep — and many species of both flora and fauna are struggling to adapt…” File photo: A flower withers in a late-season frost.” CREDIT: USDA

Rains Expose a New Water Problem in California: Storage. The Wall Street Journal reports: “…It wasn’t just last month’s dramatic near-disaster at Lake Oroville’s dam that is to blame for the water loss. After years of drought, months of rains are exposing a major weakness in California’s water system: lack of storage. No new state dams have been built in California since the first time Jerry Brown served as governor in the 1970s, putting a strain on existing reservoirs as the state’s population has nearly doubled to about 40 million over the same time. “The system we have was built more than 40 years ago, and it is doing more than it was planned to do,” said Ajay Goyal, chief of infrastructure investigations for the state’s Department of Water Resources...”

Photo credit: “Water being released from Lake Oroville Dam on Feb. 14. Enough water has spilled out of the rain-swollen California lake to meet the demands of roughly 14 million people for a year.” Photo: jim urquhart/Reuters.
Flood Claims Cost the U.S. Billions, but Congress Can Fix That. Isn’t doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results the definition of insanity? TheHill has a must-read story; here’s are a couple of snippets: “Major flood events are becoming the new normal. In 2016, there were four inland floods causing at least $1 billion in damages each, double the average number of nontropical storm-related floods since 1980. While the headlines around these events focus, understandably, on property damage and the impact on individuals and families, a big piece of the story — the escalating cost to the federal government — is often left untold…That means that some 15,000 homes and businesses in the U.S. are flooded so often, or so severely, that the ensuing repairs cost more than the property is worth. In Alabama, for example, a home valued at $153,000 has cost the NFIP $2.3 million in claims payments. Similarly, a Mississippi home valued at $69,900 has flooded 34 times in 32 years, costing the program $663,000. This imposes tremendous costs on taxpayers and the federal government, and the problem is only expected to get worse…” (File image: USGS).
30-Second Rapid Scan Mode on GOES-16. This new satellite will take not only day-to-day weather forecasting to the next level, but severe storm detection, tracking and prediction as well. The imagery is almost hypnotic. Here’s an excerpt from the GOES-R web site: “…This 30-second rapid-scan animation from GOES-16 demonstrates the very high spatial and temporal resolution from the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI). The rapid scan sector was set over north-central Argentina, which includes the city of Córdoba, where it captured some expected severe storms during an active late-summer weather pattern on January 21, 2017. This region is known to have some of the most extreme storms in the world. The animation was created with the ABI band 2, its primary visible channel. Many interesting and important features of the near storm environment and convective clouds themselves are readily apparent. Differential motion between the developing thunderstorms and the low level clouds indicates the presence of converging low-level air leading to the rapid development of these storms. Apparent rotation in the boiling cloud tops suggests intense updrafts or vertical motion in these storms. Severe hail was reported with at least one of the storms in the center of the domain around 2130 UTC...”
First Images from GOES-16 Lightning Mapper. Dan Satterfield shares the good news for meteorologists and consumers at AGU Blogosphere: “The Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) is working. This instrument will likely be a revolutionary advance in severe storm forecasting and warnings and can measure the total lightning in storms. Current lightning data sees cloud to ground strokes, but these coordinate poorly with severe weather. Research shows that total lightning does correlate well with severe weather and can significantly increase lead times and it will likely reduce false alarms as well. I was involved in a NOAA experiment using total lightning data, and I think it will be a real game changer…”
Fog Detection Using GOES-16. Here’s a clip from the CIMSS Satellite Blog at The University of Wisconsin: “…GOES-16 data in AWIPS includes pre-defined channel differences judged to have utility in Decision Support Services. One of these is Fog detection (the infrared Brightness Temperature Difference between 3.9 µm and 11.2 µm) that extracts information at night based on emissivity differences from water-based clouds at those two wavelengths. This is a product that can detect stratus clouds at night, if cirrus clouds do not block the satellite’s view. If those stratus clouds extend to the surface, then fog is a result...”

GOES-16: 100x Increase in Data. Check out this backgrounder on the new (amazing) GOES-16 satellite from UCAR: “…But the advantages of GOES-16 also create new challenges. The satellite has three times as many spectral channels as its predecessors, each with four times more resolution. It can scan the entire Western Hemisphere every 15 minutes and simultaneously generate images of severe weather every 30-60 seconds. All this data will amount to about 1 terabyte per day, more than 100 times the amount of data produced by an existing GOES satellite. And even more data can be expected when NOAA launches additional advanced GOES satellites in coming years...”

Climate Scientists and Weather Forecasters Outraged by Proposed Cuts to NOAA. Jason Samenow reports at Capital Weather Gang: “…NOAA, which is part of the Department of Commerce, houses the National Weather Service and the divisions responsible for weather satellites and atmospheric research. The weather satellite division, known as the National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service, would be hardest hit by the proposed cuts. The administration proposes slashing its budget by $513 million in the 2018 fiscal year, which starts Oct. 1. Data from weather satellites are indispensable for models used to predict the weather. NOAA has conducted experiments that show that forecasts for costly and deadly storms would be far less accurate without such information…”

Image credit: “Visualizations of Hurricane Sandy in 2012.” (Mel Shapiro, NCAR).

Buyer Beware. I have my bootleg copy of the 2017 Farmer’s Almanac, which I consult for articles and trivia, but as a long-range weather predictor? Not so much. The image in the upper left shows the official forecast for meteorological winter; upper right shows actual temperature departure from normal this past winter: warmer than average east of the Rockies, but colder for the Pacific Northwest, where it was supposed to be “Mild and Stormy”. They got the stormy part right.

The High Toll of Costly Water: Who Will Pay for America’s Quiet Water Crisis? Here’s a clip from an eye-opening article at Fusion: “…Mack, along with research assistant Sarah Wrase, determined that if water rates increase at projected amounts over the next five years, the percentage of households that can’t pay their water bills could triple from 11.9% to more than a third. Nearly 14 million households nationwide already struggle to afford water services. An additional 27.18 million—or 8.5% of the country’s population—could soon face the same challenges. “I don’t think we think about this, about what it would mean to not have running water,” Mack told Fusion. Of course, some Americans have experienced it. Water affordability is becoming an increasingly critical issue in cities across the country, including Philadelphia, Atlanta, Seattle, and Detroit. In Philadelphia, an estimated four out of 10 water accounts are past due. Atlanta and Seattle have some of the highest water rates in the country...” (Image credit: NOAA).
Exposure to Pollution Kills Millions of Children, WHO Report Finds. Here’s a summary from The Washington Post: “Exposure to polluted environments is associated with more than one in four deaths among children younger than 5, according to two World Health Organization reports published Monday. Worldwide, 1.7 million children’s deaths are attributable to environmental hazards, such as exposure to contaminated water, indoor and outdoor pollution, and other unsanitary conditions, the reports found. Weaker immune systems make children’s health more vulnerable to harmful effects of polluted environments, the report says…”

Photo credit: “Indian pedestrians cover their faces amid heavy dust and smog in New Delhi.” (Harish Tyagi/European Pressphoto Agency)

Wind Power: A New Cash Crop for Minnesota Farmers. Here’s an excerpt of an update from Wind On The Wires: “…Rural communities have much to gain from welcoming a wind project into their community.  Wind development projects inject millions of dollars into the local economy.  This happens in a few ways.  First, developers strive to buy local goods and services whenever possible.  They use local restaurants, grocery stores, hotels, hardware stores, service stations, building and construction supply companies, print shops, and other services as much as possible. This gives a real boost to local businesses.  After construction, good-paying permanent jobs remain for service technicians and administrative personnel. Second, wind energy has become a new “cash crop” for many farmers and ranchers. U.S. wind farms now pay an estimated $245 million a year to farming families.  At the end of 2015, AWEA reported that 70 percent of that revenue goes to landowners who live in counties with below average incomes, providing a welcome source of new income…”

America Doesn’t Have to Choose Between the Economy and the Climate. Here’s an excerpt of an encouraging report at World Resources Institute: “…Beyond economic growth, climate action can also have positive impacts on employment. Solar and wind are among the most dynamic industries in the nation. In 2016, the solar industry created one out of every 50 new jobs in the United States. Wind turbine technicians are expected to be the fastest-growing occupation over the next 10 years. According to the U.S. Department of Energy, there are already 374,000 American jobs in solar energy, 102,000 in wind energy and more than 2.2 million related to energy efficiency. For comparison, 160,000 Americans work in coal. The solar and wind jobs are spread out from coast to coast, including concentrations in the Midwest and Southwest...”
Nikon’s New Shoe Could Propel Marathoners to an Impossible Feat. A sub 2-hour marathon? WIRED.com has details: “The marathon world record stands at two hours, two minutes, and 57 seconds. Nike wants to chisel that time down to less than two hours and has designed a shoe to do it. Today Nike unveils the Zoom Vaporfly Elite, a concept running shoe that three world-class runners will wear this spring during the Breaking2 initiative to run a sub-two-hour race. Given the trajectory of human athletic performance—in 1906, the best marathoners clocked in at just under three hours—a sub-two-hour run seems achievable, if not inevitable. But scientists, athletes, and designers agree this is a mighty goal. “It’s ones of those big barriers of human potential,” says Tony Bignell, VP of footwear innovation at Nike…”

TODAY: Cold and blustery. Winds: NW 15-30. High: 36

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low: 20

THURSDAY: Patchy clouds, but less wind. Winds: N 7-12. High: 35

FRIDAY: Partly sunny, February flashback. Winds: N 8-13. Wake-up: 10. High: 24 Morning windchills dipping below 0F.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy, flurries possible. Winds: NE 5-10. Wake-up: 13. High: 27

SUNDAY: Next clipper, chance of slushy lawns. Winds: SE 8-13. Wake-up: 16. High: 31

MONDAY: Drying out, still a little chilly for March. Winds: NW 8-13. Wake-up: 17. High: 32

TUESDAY: Intervals of sun, cooler than average. Winds: SE 7-12. Wake-up: 19. High: 36
Climate Stories….

Carbon Dioxide Could Reach 410 PPM This Month. Climate Central has the details: “A never-ending stream of carbon pollution ensures that each year the world continues to break records for carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. This year will be no different. Like a rite of spring, carbon dioxide is poised to cruise pass the previous mark set last year and reach heights unseen in human history. In the coming weeks, carbon dioxide will start to breach the 410 parts per million threshold on a daily basis at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii. The monthly average for May could come close to topping 410 ppm, too, according to the U.K. Met Office’s inaugural carbon dioxide forecast, released last week...”

Arctic Sea Ice May Vanish Even If World Achieves Climate Goal: Study. Here’s a story excerpt from Reuters: “Arctic sea ice may vanish in summers this century even if governments achieve a core target for limiting global warming set by almost 200 nations in 2015, scientists said on Monday. Arctic sea ice has been shrinking steadily in recent decades, damaging the livelihoods of indigenous peoples and wildlife such as polar bears while opening the region to more shipping and oil and gas exploration. Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, governments set a goal of limiting the rise in average world temperatures to well below 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial times, with an aspiration of just 1.5C (2.7F).  “The 2 degrees Celsius target may be insufficient to prevent an ice-free Arctic,” James Screen and Daniel Williamson of Exeter University in Britain wrote in the journal Nature Climate Change after a statistical review of ice projections...”

Image credit: Difference in September ice from 1984 to 2016. NOAA and NASA.

The Republican Mayor is Bucking his Party to Stand Up for Climate Action. ThinkProgress has the story: “…That’s because to six-term mayor and lifelong Republican Jim Brainard, making his city more sustainable — and reducing Carmel’s contribution to climate change — isn’t a liberal issue. It’s an issue that speaks to his vision of conservatism, and he deeply believes more Republican leaders should start speaking up about climate change as well. “I somewhat regret not speaking out sooner,” he told ThinkProgress. “There’s a lot of Republicans out there that think like I do. They have been intimidated, to some extent, by the Tea Party and the conservative talk show hosts. But at a certain age, you just don’t care. You think, ‘I’m going to say what I think and what I think is best for my constituents.’ If you do that, I think it comes through to the voters...”

Photo credit: “Mayor Jim Brainard in his office in Carmel, Indiana.” CREDIT: Tom Britt

How to Talk Climate Change Across the Aisle: Focus on Adaptive Solutions Rather Than Causes. Here’s an excerpt of a story from The Conversation and Salon: “…We should not choose between mitigation or adaptation because we need both. We cannot lose sight of this dual need. But we will continue to face very demanding decisions about how to allocate finite resources — money, time, effort and so on — across multiple strategic options. This is where tomorrow’s difficult conversations will unfold. How will trade-offs be made, and what kinds of perceptions and biases will determine our choices? We will not be able to optimize our strategies, as objectively and effectively as humanly possible, without understanding the psychologies underlying them. Research into the psychology of different climate solutions is in its infancy. A recent study showed how different political ideologies predict different levels of support for free market versus regulatory solutions for cutting carbon emissions…” (Photo: Reuters).

James Balog on Climate Change: “It’s a Tragedy That It’s Been Politicized”. Here’s an excerpt of a story at Sarasota’s Herald-Tribune: “…We have lived in a fairly narrow zone of temperature and moisture for the last 10,000 years,” Balog said. “To ignore (climate change), we’re basically gambling in our world.” Although climate change has been a controversial topic politically, Balog rejected those who view it as a partisan topic. Instead, he said climate change is simply an objective fact regardless of political party. “It’s a tragedy that the issue has been politicized,” Balog said. “It never should’ve been turned into political football.” At that statement, nearly the entire audience began to applaud...”

Photo credit: “The Mendenhall Glacier in Alaska was photographed by James Balog in 2015 for the Extreme Ice Survey project.” Ccurtesy: James Balog.
How Climate Change Will Stress the Grid And What ISO’s Are Doing About It. Here’s a story snippet from Utility Dive: “…But while climate change skeptics wring their hands over the theoretical costs of global warming, the nation’s electricity system operators are already feeling it — and planning for its future effects. Average temperatures are rising across the U.S., pushing grid operators to examine whether they have adequate capacity to meet higher power demand and sharper spikes in peak load.  Projected temperature increases will raise average electricity demand 2.8% across the U.S. by the end of the century, according to a new National Academy of Sciences study. The impact is expected to be greatest in the summer months, when cooling load is already high; the study projects a 3.5% increase in average peak demand over the same timeframe…” (Image credit: Department of Energy).
Weathercaster Survey Shows Increasing Acceptance of Climate Science. Here’s an excerpt of a post from meteorologist Dan Satterfield at AGU Blogosphere: “…I’ve had chats with skeptical weathercasters and I point out that while skepticism is a natural part of science, confirmation bias is something we should all be aware of. When every major science body on Earth has agreed with the IPCC findings, the burden is now on those who remain skeptical to show why all those published papers are wrong. If you think they are indeed wrong, then publish a paper showing why, and do it in a peer-reviewed journal. That’s the way science works. I’m reminded of a friend who has a PhD in atmospheric science and his story about standing in line late at night in Wal-Mart. He was asked by a woman in hair curlers what he did, and upon answering was told that climate change was a hoax. The lesson here is that an entrenched political worldview can lead to saying things that make you look silly, while never having the slightest thought of how you are being perceived (something I try to keep this in mind when writing these posts…)...”

Graphic credit: “Only 50% of the survey participants thought that climate change was mainly due to human activities. Just 29% think it is mainly natural. This shows there is still a lingering disconnect between weathercasters and the atmospheric science community.”

Jobs Take Center Stage of Climate Change Debate in Trump Era. Here’s an excerpt from Bloomberg: “…Many Republicans, including the president, have been unmoved by environmental or scientific arguments that federal policies should support clean energy as a way to combat global warming. They may be swayed by the 360,000 jobs provided by wind and solar in the U.S. last year, business executives and environmentalists said Friday at a climate-change conference in Chicago. Economics have long been at the center of arguments supporting wind and solar power. But as President Donald Trump pushes to boost fossil fuel production and cede U.S. leadership on fighting climate change, clean energy advocates are talking about employment more than ever. “There is nothing that matters more to politicians than jobs and ribbon cuttings,’’ Bob Keefe, executive director of the non-profit group Environmental Entrepreneurs, said during a speech at the event. “They need to hear from business people that this is driving growth…’’

Inside the Quest to Monitor Countries’ CO2 Emissions. From commercial aircraft to satellites, we need cost-effective ways to measure greenhouse gas emissions.  Here’s a clip from Scientific American: “…While some space satellites can measure greenhouse gas emissions, they are expensive, depend on computer models and “have all kinds of biases” that make it difficult to reach the precision needed to accurately measure man-made emissions, explained NOAA’s Tans. NASA has recently selected a more sophisticated satellite for a launch in 2022, however, that offers some hope. It is called the Geostationary Carbon Cycle Observatory (GeoCARB), and would hover 22,000 miles in space, rotating with a constant view of most of the Americas. It comes with a bargain basement price (for a satellite) of $166 million over the next five years, partly because it will hitchhike a ride into space sitting in an unused area of a payload carrying a commercial communications satellite…”

Image credit: “This is an artist’s concept of the Orbiting Carbon Observatory. The mission, scheduled to launch in early 2009, will be the first spacecraft dedicated to studying atmospheric carbon dioxide.” Credit: NASA, JPL

100 Years Ago Alexander Graham Bell Warned Us About the “Greenhouse Effect”. Here’s a clip from ThinkProgress: “In a 1917 paper, Alexander Graham Bell wrote that the unrestricted burning of fossil fuels “would have a sort of greenhouse effect.” The man who invented the telephone four decades earlier added, “the net result is the greenhouse becomes a sort of hot-house.” Bell was also concerned about the inevitable depletion of fossil fuels — “What shall we do when we have no more coal and oil?” So in a 1917 article for National Geographic Magazine, he urged the development of renewable ethanol fuel from agricultural waste, corn stalks, and saw-mill dust.” As one biographer wrote, Bell would “also explore ideas in energy conservation” and “solar heating…”

Photo credit: “Alexander Graham Bell at the opening of the long-distance line from New York to Chicago.” CREDIT: Library of Congress, text by Patrick Smith, ThinkProgress.

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